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Statistics Hypothesis & Probabilities

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Prophecy Fulfillment

Psa. 31:14, 15 “He trusted in God, let Him 

deliver him” Matthew 27:43

Isa. 52:7 Published good tidings upon 

mountains Matthew 5:12,15:29,28:16

Joel 2:32 Offer salvation to all mankind Romans 10:9-13 

Dan. 2:44-45 The Stone that shall break the 

kingdoms Matthew 21:44 

Deut. 18:15-16 “Had ye believed Moses, ye 

would believe me.” John 5:45-47 

Psa. 45:17 His name remembered forever Ephesians 1:20-21, Heb. 1:8 

Gen. 5:24 The bodily ascension to 

heaven illustrated Mark 16:19 

Zech. 11:9 Stops ministering to those who 

rejected Him Matthew 13:10-11 

1. Think more about the probability of each event. For example, what is the chance that a 

person born in Israel would be born in or be from Bethlehem? What would the probability be 

that a person would be crucified in Israel given that he lived in that time period? Put numbers 

on each of the eight prophecy fulfillments. Some of the probabilities will be subjective, but 

put values that you feel make sense and write a short justification for the value you picked. 

For example, if one of the prophecies said that the Messiah would come from the house of 

Judah, you could say that the probability is 1/12, since there were 12 tribes. Do not put 

probabilities of 0 or 1. You can get closer than you might think—Google can tell you what 

the population of Israel was in the days or Christ, for example. The important thing is to 

write down your justification as to why you assigned the probabilities you did to each 

prophecy. 

2. Choose one of the eight prophecies in Stoner’s research. Explain how he might have arrived 

at the probability he assigned. Do you think his estimated probability is too 

high(conservative) or too low? What probability would you assign and why?

3. Given the new probabilities you associated with each prophecy, what is the probability that 

all eight happened in sequence? Hint: What’s the probability that you flip a coin and it comes 

up tails? 50%. What if you flip the coin twice and it comes up tails both times? 1/2*1/2 = 

25%. What if three times? 1/2*1/2*1/2 = 1/8. What if four? Five? Now think about the 

probability of just two prophecies coming to pass at the same time. What would the 

probability be? What about three prophecies? Eight? Show your work. 4. Reflection Question: Do you think it is possible that someone other than Jesus could have 

fulfilled the prophecies of the Bible? Why do some religious groups claim to believe the 

Bible, but reject Jesus as the Messiah?

The verse references are as follows:

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