Probability Question

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Directions

Assignment 2 is an individual-based project that requires you to calculate joint probabilities and to develop a decision tree based on the p (probability) of white and nonwhite employees in the departments 21 (Police), 17 (Fire), and 22 (Parks and Recreation). In doing so, you must do the following:

1. Calculate the probability of a white and nonwhite employee in the department(s) or unit(s);
2. Create an exhaustive decision tree with branches for 4 random drawings of a white and nonwhite employee; and,
3. Calculate the joint probabilities for the 1st – 4th random drawings of a white and nonwhite employee.

Prior to completing items 1 – 3 above, you are required to research and synthesize articles/ publications on public sector organizational diversity. This research must include at least one 1 publication and each article that you selected must be submitted with the assignment to verify that you conducted the research or a working web-link should be provided. Failure to submit the articles/ links that you selected will result in a 20 point deduction.

Include your research into Background section of your report. For example, for this assignment your research might focus on finding on what are the challenges and benefits of the organizational diversity, and in the public sector in particular. In your opinion, does the City of Hollywood, FL has a diverse workforce, how the ethnicity structure compares to the national statistics or state statistics? You might want to check the following links I found on the topic, including US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Florida Statistics, and Forbes:

You may want to use those links for your reports; however, you are not required to use them. I encourage you to do your own investigation of the topic. I do not expect everybody to have the same opinion on the topic; I will be looking into how thoroughly you build and support your argument.

After completing items 1 – 3, the following is required:
• Create a table that summarize the joint probabilities of the 4 random drawings of white and nonwhite employees; and,
• Attach the Excel spreadsheets that contain the statistical output.
Failure to attach the Excel spreadsheets to the assignment to verify that you performed the analysis will result in a 30 point deduction.

The required structure of this written assignment is as follows:

Cover Sheet

I. Executive Summary
a. Research question; b. Data and Method; c. Main Conclusions

II. Background (lit review)

III. Problem Statement (Research question)

IV. Analysis (Data and Method; Results)

V. Conclusions and Recommendations (findings and policy implications)

VI. Bibliography

VII. Appendecies

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