INSTRUCTIONS
You are given a list of 7 intelligence questions and you are expected to respond to 4 of them.
Paper submission should be in table form and not exceed two pages per intelligence problem. Each table should list the primary intelligence problem (given below). In your table, you must break down the primary problem into its components, then listing Priority Intelligence Requirements (PIRs) / Essential Elements of Information (EEIs) for each component question. PIRs may be considered “general statements of intelligence need” or generalized questions about the operating environment (Curtis E. Lemay Center 2015). The PIRs should then be the driving force for your more specific EEIs. You should identify the analytic methods you would recommend using to analyze the information to answer the overall question. Finally, you need to explain why those methods are appropriate.
Submissions will be graded using the following:
- break the intelligence problem into component questions,
- articulate Priority Intelligence Requirements and Essential Elements of Information,
- identify intelligence analysis methods that you recommend to address the problems (based on the type of information you identify and the nature of the question),
- provide a textual explanation of why you chose the methods you did and what you can expect by using the methods,
- completion of 1-4 above for 4 of the 7 problems listed below, and
- demonstration that you have read, understood and used the required readings
You must select 4 out of the following 7problems to address for this assignment:
1) To what extent is Iran influencing policymaking by the Lebanese government and political leadership?
2) A car struck a prominent Russian opposition leader while she was crossing a busy London street. Who is responsible?
3) China is developing a new all-weather stealth combat aircraft. To what extent has its performance, design, and capability been a result of espionage against the United States?
4) The US is considering dramatically expanding anti-Russian propaganda operations in the Ukraine and Eastern/Central Europe. How is Vladimir Putin likely to respond?
5) The government of Djibouti is considering restoring diplomatic relations with Iran, which were cut in 2016. What potential threats does this pose to US intelligence operations stationed in or supported by US installations in Djibouti?
6) The US is considering a covert operation to destabilize the government of Venezuela with the hopes this would provoke the downfall of the current regime. What are the risks to such an operation and what might be the unintended consequences of such an operation?
7) What are the expected social, economic, and consequent political effects of COVID-19 on India currently and in the coming year?
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